Good News, Bad News: Kansas Home Sales Rise 5% But Sale Prices Fall 8%

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

My Kansas Association of Realtors (KAR) report on January’s real estate market indicates the volume of home sales is picking up steam. Overall in the state of Kansas, home sales (closings) rose 5.6% in January 2011 compared with January of 2010. This is impressive when you consider that 2009’s figure was inflated by the home buyer tax credit. This market improvement outpaced the national market improvement of 5.3% and these figures are promising both locally and nationally.

There’s still too many homes on the market however, leaving 13.3 months of inventory in the state of Kansas. The months of inventory was calculated using the number of January home sales and dividing that figure into the 17,805 listings that were for sale at the end of January. With still too much supply for demand, homes sellers saw their average sales prices fall from around $160,000 in January 2010 to around $147,000 January of this year. That’s a significant 8% fall in home prices across the state.

Looking closely at our local market in Johnson County Kansas, 321 homes were sold (closed) in January. This was virtually unchanged from the 328 home sales in Johnson County in January 2010. Comparing this January’s sales rate to the amount of inventory currently on the market, we find there’s 11.1 months of inventory available. This amount of inventory indicates a clear buyer’s real estate market in Johnson County Kansas and anyone in the market to make a move should contact us to see some of the great Johnson County Kansas homes for sale.

Posted by Jason A. Brown

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Any Way You Slice It, Shadow Inventory Will Have A Lingering Effect On Kansas City Real Estate Values

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

If you’re not familiar with the term Shadow Inventory, it means homes that are NOT on the market but will be in the near future. This includes bank owned properties that are not yet listed but also includes homes where the owners are significantly behind on payments — and that are likely to be bank-owned properties in the near future. At the slow sales pace being seen nationally, the Wall Street Journal has done some analysis and found there’s more than EIGHT YEARS of Shadow Inventory to be absorbed.


That number is staggering. Of course, it calculates matters using current sales rates. But even if home sales DOUBLED over, say, the next six months, that would reduce the Shadow Inventory to FOUR YEARS. Taking this painful excercise a step further, home sales would need to octuple to get it down to just ONE YEAR of REO shadow inventory we’re faced with today.

A high amount of Shadow Inventory leads to lower prices on bank properties as banks look to move them. Lower prices on bank properties bring down values of the stable homes in a community. That hurts even more homeowners and causes otherwise solid borrowers to be upside down on their homes. This leads to more Short Sales, which are half as bad for a community as a foreclosure but hurtful none-the-less. This leads to lower sales prices for solid borrowers in the area. Which leads to… me being depressed discussing Shadow Inventory.

Now you could also run with Standard & Poor’s estimate that there’s “just” four years of Shadow inventory on the market. Or, if your cup is half full, you could trust that my National Association of Realtors is correct with its assessment that only two percent of the nations properties should be considered Shadow Inventory.


Posted by Jason A. Brown

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Get The Inside Scoop On Every Johnson County Kansas Home For Sale

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

There’s a very simple search that Johnson County Kansas home buyers can do to research the home they’re considering buying. The site allows you to search any property by address and view aerial maps of the property, current and past photos of the exterior of the home, lot dimensions, zoning restrictions and more.


It’s all part of the Johnson County Kansas AIMS mapping solution and you can get the inside scoop right now on the Johnson County property that interests you. Once there, simply enter the address of the property in the search box that says “My Location”. You don’t even have to include the city or state.  The first map you’ll see shows the official county map with the property lines overdrawn showing precisely how the home sits on the given lot.  The second map is also great because you can view a 2D view, aerial view or bird’s-eye view of the property. There’s also a 3D version that I’ve yet to try out. Below that map are tax appraiser’s previous photos of the home, some going back as far as 1993. This alone is eye-opening on many properties!


Posted by Jason A. Brown

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New FHA Requirements Increase Minimum Down Payments For Many Kansas City Home Buyers

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

For the past several years it’s become more difficult for home buyers to secure financing. There’s been an obvious over-correction in the market as lenders went from giving your dog a loan for his dog house to not giving a self-employed borrower with 50% down and an 800 credit score a loan. But things have opened up enough now that solid buyers can secure loans and purchase a great home. But just when we need some more good news, FHA comes out this month with requirements making it more difficult for borrowers to secure an FHA loan.

If you’re credit score is anywhere below 500 you can not get an FHA loan any longer. Period. Though when I asked a few lenders just how many borrowers this would affect, they all said very few… because they weren’t giving loans to sub 500 credit score buyers in the past, even though FHA would have allowed it. The real change is for the borrowers with credit scores in the 500 to 579 range. Those borrowers must now have a TEN PERCENT down payment — rather than the 3.5% minimum down payment that previous borrowers with the same credit score needed.


Posted by Jason A. Brown

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Johnson County Kansas Home Buyers Weren’t Scared To Buy In A Seller’s Market, So Why Start Now In A BUYER’S Market?

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

I’m intrigued by how our down housing market has many home buyers running scared. There are of course risks in any investment you make, but we need to remember that while our down market is bad news for many home sellers, it’s GREAT news for most home buyers. Values are down like never before but if our market is now stabilizing – as it appears to be now in many areas – there’s going to be a lot of disappointed people who missed a golden opportunity. Look at this as an amazing time to explore your options for buying a home. Or in selling your current home and buying another.


On the graph above, take a ruler and lay it along the line you see from 1970 through the year 2000 (when began seeing unprecedented appreciation rates. It works about the same on either the red or blue lines. What you find is that were at a point now where we probably should have been at anyhow — before the steep rise and prices AND after the correction we’ve seen the past few years. Again, we don’t know that we’re at the bottom of the market, but this graph would lead me to believe we are. Real estate has been one of the safest investments since the great depression and if you keep the long-term trends of real estate in mind, the question I’m asking home buyers right now is “why WOULDN’T you buy a home today?”

Our current real estate market could easily be the best chance you’ll ever have to get in a home larger than you ever hoped and to also make equity gains that others won’t see when jumping in AFTER we’re already well into a real estate market recovery. The deals that are out there right now for Johnson County Kansas home buyers should provide a huge cushion even if the market should dip further. Don’t be one of those buyers who were happy to buy in a seller’s market and pay a premium price but are now too shy to take advantage of the amazing buying deals in today’s buyer’s market.

As a buyer, YOU hold the cards. I know this as your buyer’s agent. The listing agent knows it. And, most importantly, most Johnson County Kansas home sellers are acutely aware of the market conditions. There are deals to be had everywhere from your typical resale homes to foreclosure listings, Short Sale listings and investors who have lost their shorts and are looking to get out of the market. So get out there and see if the home you want is available at a price you may never see again.


Posted by Jason A. Brown

Johnson County Kansas Real Estate Update – August 2010

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market
Real Estate Info for Johnson County Kansas
Recent
15 Days of Johnson County KS Market Activity

Comparing the absorption rate over the past 15 days in Johnson County Kansas to the number of homes currently on the market, there’s 10.3 months of inventory available. This is high and it’s clearly still a buyer’s market in Johnson County Kansas and the surrounding Kansas City metro area. As has been the trend for some time now, more homes came on the market (510) over the past 15 days, than homes sold (213) over the same period. This further increases the months of inventory and we’ll need to see a higher sales rate to work off the more the more than 4,000 homes for sale in Johnson County Kansas.

Type

#

Average $

Avg DOM

Listings Past 15 Days

510

Total Active Listings

4,385

Newest Contracts Written

265
$244,872 129

Newest Sold (Closed)

213 $245,387 138

* The Average $ of Newest Contracts considers the price the homes were listed at when they went under contract. Data pulled from Heartland MLS and deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Low samplings in any category can skew results. Stats may not be an exact 15 days from date of this post. DOM = Days On Market.

The number of homes that went under contract outpaced the number of actual closings, so there’s good potential news in those figures — assuming most those homes make it to the closing table. The homes that sold did so in about 4.5 months time. If your real estate goals involve buying or selling any Johnson County Kansas Real Estate, please contact me for assistance. When working as your Johnson County Realtor, we’ll provide you expert guidance in your home purchase or sale. Don’t hesitate to let us know if we can assist you by sending market stats specific to your subdivision or a surrounding community.

View Past Real Estate Stats On Johnson County KS

Buyer’s Agents In Johnson County KS

Seller’s Agents In Johnson County KS

Relocating to Johnson County Kansas

View All Listed Johnson County KS Homes For Sale

Johnson County Kansas Realtors

Johnson County Kansas Realtors

Interesting Johnson County Kansas Link…
Johnson County KS 2011 Budget
Posted by Jason A. Brown

Is Your Johnson County Kansas Homeowners Association A Blessing Or A Curse — Or Both?

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

Homeowners Associations place restrictions on the homeowners living within a community and those restrictions typically include the types of materials they can be used to build an exterior deck on a home. This may seem like a pain, but it’s those same restrictions that help keep property values higher in the community. An HOA may charge hundreds of dollars each month in dues but it’s those dues that provide the funds to support a nice community pool and maintenance of the common areas and the entryway into the community. So a good homeowners association provides benefits that outweigh the costs and hassles involved.

Despite the hoops that must be jumped through, I’d personally never live in a community in town that didn’t have an HOA keeping the neighbors in line. It’s a small price to pay to have to follow rules and regulations when it comes to the types of materials I can use on my yard fencing, roofing shingles and decking boards. I also happen to like the Johnson County beige color that most exteriors are painted and would NOT want my neighbor’s house painted purple. That could happen if there were no HOA present. Well, actually, that could happen WITH an HOA present. But there would repercussions — the most common being the HOA fining and/or placing a lien on the property who’s broken the rules. Though the most common reason a lien would be placed on a property is due to non-payment of the homeowner’s yearly or monthly dues.

Most communities have a well-run homeowners association, but some others have their troubles. Some don’t have enough homeowners present to cover the costs of the HOA’s commitments. Others have homeowners who refuse to raise the dues to a level that will cover the HOA’s commitments. Others waste the collected dues frivolously. Running an HOA could include maintaining a community pool, clubhouse, walking trails, park, common areas, trash pickup, etc.

A Homeowners Association is also about more than just collecting enough to cover the current costs and expenses. It’s also imperative that the dues being collected are enough to provide a SURPLUS of funds for when major items break down, wear down or become obsolete. I’ve heard 25% used as a good rule of thumb for HOA savings — in other words, if your HOA dues are $400 a year, then $100 of those yearly dues should be going into savings. If you have concerns about the restrictions on the subdivision you’re about to buy into or if you have questions about the stability of the HOA in question, ask the home seller for a copy of the homeowners association restrictions early in the process – or ask the seller for the contact info for the HOA. You can also ask for a copy of the HOA’s current yearly budget and financial statement.

Posted by Jason A. Brown

Always Do A Final Walk-Through Prior To Closing Your Kansas City Real Estate Transaction

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

Once a buyer has come to terms with a seller on an Inspection Resolution, most transactions are full-speed ahead to closing. As a listing agent I know that many home buyers never even come to do a final walk-through of the home. Or if it’s a vacant home the buyer’s agent may have let the buyer into the home without notice. Either way is not the proper way to handle matters in the days leading up the closing.


Doing a final walk-through in the days prior to closing is important for many reasons. One, it’s the buyers chance to walk the home and verify the agreed to inspection items have been completed properly. If something hasn’t been done, there will be time for the seller to get contractors back to the home – assuming you don’t try to do the walk-through at the very last-minute. Just as important, a final walk-through allows a buyer to walk-through the home and be sure nothing adverse has happened to the home in the weeks leading up to the closing. Image if there has been a plumbing leak, roof leak, fire damage or vandalism to the home in the mean time?

You might also like to know if the seller damaged the hardwood floors moving that piano out of the home. Or if they’ve left huge holes in the drywall after removing large items. You’ll also want to verify all items that were considered “fixtures” in the real estate contact are still at the home. Did the seller take the half bath mirror with them that was screwed into the wall? Did they take the refrigerator that was clearly written in the contract as staying? These are important factors that only a final walk-through will help with and have you feeling confident when you sit down at closing to sign on the dotted line.

Closing on a home using the seller’s “word” that they’ll get things straightened out after closing could mean the item will never get addressed. A buyer looses most of their leverage after the closing has occurred and the seller has their money. Of course a buyer could sue if the issue is worthy enough, but why not avoid that by just making sure everything is in order PRIOR to closing?  Some of the other more critical items to really look over include making sure the there’s no damage to the walls or floors from the seller moving out and that the furnace, air conditioner and kitchen appliances are all working properly.

If a home simply can’t be made perfectly ready for closing, then there’s several options. The obvious one is delaying the closing, but that could be a very bad situation for a buyer or seller… or both. The sales price of the home could be reduced by the amount needed to address the item in question — if the lender will allow this to occur. Money could be placed into an escrow account and released once the item is complete. Another solution I’ve seen, is the seller agrees to pay for an item at closing and a check is cut by the title company to the company that will be doing the repair. The check is then given to the BUYER of the home at closing, who will have the leverage of not releasing the check to that company until the work is completed.


Posted by Jason A. Brown

Only You Can Truly Decide How Much Kansas City Home You Can Afford

Hands On The Heartland
Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

As a Kansas City home buyer, the Golden Rule for how much you can afford is to simply ask yourself. No one is more qualified than YOU to decide what YOU can afford. Now a mortgage lender is going to tell you the max amount they’ll let you borrow. But that amount may be much more than you can or want to truly afford. And by afford, I mean how much you can “afford” to sacrifice other things in your life. It’s one thing to afford a $2000 a month house payment and another completely to be able to do so without compromising your favorite boat or expensive dining habits.


So when the lender says here’s your Pre-Approval Letter and you can buy up to a $290,000 home, the better question is “how much will my payments be? Once you know that you’ll know if buying a $290,000 works into your master plan. If it doesn’t, then maybe you should be looking at $200,000 or $250,000 homes. It’s up to you and this is not something than any loan officer, Kansas City Realtor, friend or family member can decide for you. When a lender pre-approves you, the underwriting guidelines are designed to minimize the lender’s losses and are not in place to protect your  future finances. A good loan officer will certainly help you with that, but the underwriting guidelines that spit out a Pre-Approval Letter don’t factor it into the equation.

So what are some good rules of thumb when deciding what’s the right amount of mortgage payment? A good general rule of thumb is that your house (including principal, interest, taxes, insurance and PMI on the loan and also including your HOA dues) should not take up more than 25% of your gross income. But if you use this rule of them then you’ve already broken the Golden Rule in  the first paragraph. I know that I’m seeing buyers purchase homes at double to quadruple the amount they make per year.  In other words you could use as a general rule of them that someone who makes $50,000 may be able to purchase a $200,000 home — of course that’s making a whole lot of assumptions. But you would never use a rule of thumb anyhow when making such an important decision, would you?


Posted by Jason A. Brown
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Overland Park Kansas Relocation: Cheat Sheets By Zip Code

Checking The Pulse Of The Kansas City Real Estate Market

One of the first questions I hear from relocation clients who have never been to Overland Park, Kansas City or Johnson County Kansas is that they’re expecting to find flat land with lots of farm fields and mules. OK, I added in the mules part, but most relocation clients really have no idea what to expect when they first visit the metro area. Overland Park is a big reason why Kansas City is known around the country as a legit big town metropolitan area. Areas like Overland Park, Olathe, Leawood, Lenexa, Leawood and Shawnee on the Kansas side really have it all. On the Missouri side there’s Lee’s Summit and North Kansas City, among others.

Seriously, the suburbs of Kansas City have more parks, shopping and dining amenities nearby than most remotely expect. I know this because that’s what relocation clients repeatedly tell me. The area amenities are also usually near highway access too, making them even more appealing. The master planning among the majority of newer areas of the metro has typically been done quite well. But relocation buyers also need be aware there can be big differences within any particular metro city. For instance, let’s take two of the many zip codes covering Overland Park Kansas… 66212 in northern Overland Park and 66221 in southern Overland Park. Then we can input those two zip codes in the Moving.com zip code tool and we find…

66212 (north)
Population 32,000+
Medium household income – $61,000
Average home price – Under $200’s
Percentage of Owner occupied homes – 57%

66221 (south)
Population – 15,000+
Medium household income – $167,000
Average home price – Over $400’s
Percentage of Owner occupied homes – 96%


What a great tool for comparing zip codes! Check it yourself by putting in your home zip code and another zip code from an area you might like to live. I know you probably don’t have the surrounding zip codes memorized, so here’s the best tool I’ve found for searching zip codes by map. On this site, you can enter your home zip code and it will also show you the map of the surrounding zip codes.  Once you’ve narrowed your home search to a few specific zip codes, you’ll want to check out this other site that takes your preferred zip code and puts it into an easy to read and printable format.  Here’s an example of this cheat sheet on the ZipSkinny cheet sheet web site.

Posted by Jason A. Brown